0xc722c1...221334

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.6%

Total P&L

+$10.9K

Trade Count

3,880

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

108.01

Max Drawdown

16.8%

ROI

3.6%

Profit Factor

8.62

Kelly Fraction

0.509

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

079/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.0¢	40.63	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.0¢	79.365	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.0¢	80	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.9¢	250	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.8¢	27	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	573.31	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	5.132	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	26	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	5.23	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	79	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	145.57	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	121	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	41	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	51.74	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	4.184	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	38.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	4.18	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro79

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)71.9%

Win Consistency67.6%

Profit Factor2.05

Drawdown Resilience1.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.66

Weekly Sharpe est.1.26

Trading Activity3,880 trades · 53 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,84024d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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