0xc7515d...fb57be

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.1%

Total P&L

+$195

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-8.54

Sortino Ratio

-9.45

Max Drawdown

3068.3%

ROI

40.8%

Profit Factor

3.09

Kelly Fraction

0.142

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	5.8¢	86.207	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	SELL	0.2¢	32.23	Mar 4
Will Trump say "High IQ" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	SELL	0.1¢	22.44	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	43.4¢	32.23	Mar 4
Will Trump say "High IQ" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	44.5¢	22.447	Mar 4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	15.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	2.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	125	Mar 4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?	SELL	99.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.4¢	40.984	Mar 3
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	6.9¢	145.652	Mar 3
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	3.6¢	279.517	Mar 3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	26.2¢	38.148	Mar 3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	52.632	Mar 3
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	BUY	5.3¢	188.299	Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	14.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	33.0¢	45.455	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	1.0¢	500	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.4¢	123.678	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	125	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.1%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity23 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2791d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue