0xc765ff...a40438

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.3%

Total P&L

+$152

Trade Count

214

Sharpe Ratio

1.48

Sortino Ratio

177.19

Max Drawdown

1694.5%

ROI

12.2%

Profit Factor

1.67

Kelly Fraction

0.210

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	BUY	0.9¢	5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	90.0¢	2.48	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	90.0¢	2.52	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	10.86	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	SELL	65.0¢	10.25	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	10.417	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	500	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	27.7¢	18.079	Mar 3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	55.556	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	6.0¢	33.333	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	BUY	53.0¢	9.434	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	BUY	83.0¢	6.024	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	BUY	56.9¢	8.787	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	SELL	93.0¢	15.57	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.9%

Win Consistency36.6%

Profit Factor0.91

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity214 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2841d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue