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0xc7762a...aa37a2

0xc7762a...aa37a2
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
55.4%
Total P&L
-$394
Trade Count
1,219
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
4.28
Max Drawdown
8164.1%
ROI
-3.1%
Profit Factor
0.73
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY97.5¢9.446Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?BUY93.0¢206.383Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?BUY97.5¢8.287Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL41.0¢24.58Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢24.59Mar 3
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY46.0¢217.391Feb 26
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?SELL97.0¢140.84Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY53.0¢188.679Feb 19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?BUY71.0¢140.845Feb 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?BUY30.7¢97.636Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 15?BUY2.2¢45.909Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?BUY0.3¢333.333Feb 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?SELL77.0¢139.44Feb 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY71.7¢139.444Feb 13
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?SELL73.0¢151.51Feb 13
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY66.0¢151.515Feb 13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ETSELL53.0¢12.58Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ETBUY58.0¢12.586Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ETSELL47.0¢6.34Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ETBUY52.0¢6.346Feb 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%3%10–20%5%20–30%18%30–50%29%50–70%11%70–80%10%80–90%19%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%
Win Consistency34.5%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity1,219 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,1492d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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