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0xc77bc7...a6a526

0xc77bc7...a6a526
Smart Score
73
Win Rate
60.2%
Total P&L
+$18.7K
Trade Count
3,995
Sharpe Ratio
0.85
Sortino Ratio
7.88
Max Drawdown
33.6%
ROI
18.4%
Profit Factor
4.11
Kelly Fraction
0.456
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
073.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY90.0¢10Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY89.9¢14.016Mar 5
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?BUY87.0¢25Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY72.1¢78.06Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY72.1¢21.935Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY71.6¢100Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY70.9¢3.436Mar 5
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY92.4¢191.234Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY90.0¢5Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢75Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢35Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢10Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢5Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢15Mar 4
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?BUY96.0¢25Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.8¢6.013Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢10Mar 4
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?BUY1.3¢140Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY81.0¢100Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY39.0¢150Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%10%10–20%5%20–30%34%30–50%12%50–70%7%70–80%10%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active73.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.5%
Win Consistency57.2%
Profit Factor1.90
Drawdown Resilience1.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.54
Weekly Sharpe est.1.17
Trading Activity3,995 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,55211d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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