0xc79f00...92e3fe

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.1%

Total P&L

-$42

Trade Count

2,491

Sharpe Ratio

2.00

Sortino Ratio

3.91

Max Drawdown

48.3%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

2.69

Kelly Fraction

0.120

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	SELL	6.0¢	2.24	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	BUY	6.0¢	2.24	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	3.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	3.1¢	20	Mar 5
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	5.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	SELL	90.8¢	9.86	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	90.8¢	9.86	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	5.0¢	4.34	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	5.0¢	4.34	Mar 5
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	3.7¢	50	Mar 5
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	SELL	11.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	BUY	11.0¢	20	Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	SELL	5.0¢	12.71	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	SELL	93.0¢	17.85	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	SELL	16.4¢	20	Mar 5
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	SELL	81.3¢	20	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?	SELL	5.0¢	49.99	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat?	SELL	5.0¢	49	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.0%

Win Consistency63.2%

Profit Factor1.28

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity2,491 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$6073d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue