0xc7aa5e...e6d0f0

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.2%

Total P&L

+$59.8K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

-0.13

Sortino Ratio

-0.44

Max Drawdown

245.3%

ROI

13.0%

Profit Factor

1.70

Kelly Fraction

0.194

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	SELL	92.0¢	3,739.8	Apr 20
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	SELL	92.0¢	2,000	Apr 20
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	SELL	91.0¢	900	Apr 19
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	SELL	92.0¢	3,137.5	Apr 19
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	SELL	90.0¢	4,000	Apr 17
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	SELL	92.0¢	230	Apr 15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	SELL	22.0¢	10,000	Apr 10
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?	SELL	21.0¢	100	Apr 9
TikTok sale announced before May?	SELL	2.1¢	4,000.99	Apr 9
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?	BUY	34.7¢	1,711.79	Apr 7
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	BUY	88.0¢	1.69	Apr 7
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	BUY	88.0¢	5.61	Apr 7
TikTok sale announced before May?	SELL	10.0¢	1,000	Apr 7
TikTok sale announced before May?	SELL	11.1¢	5,000	Apr 7
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?	BUY	28.0¢	100	Apr 6
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	BUY	86.0¢	1,000	Apr 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	SELL	21.0¢	151.89	Apr 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	SELL	21.0¢	3,848.11	Apr 3
Will Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?	BUY	5.7¢	30	Apr 1
Will Susan Crawford win by 6-8%?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Apr 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.04

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.3%

Win Consistency37.0%

Profit Factor0.49

Drawdown Resilience0.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity41 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

+$15,1267d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue