0xc7b143...31752e

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.9%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.21

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

151.3%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.75

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on March 5?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Mar 4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on March 5?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 5?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Mar 4
Will Solana reach $120 in March?	BUY	86.0¢	58.14	Mar 4
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Feb 27
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Feb 27
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 27?	BUY	98.1¢	1.019	Feb 27
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?	SELL	2.6¢	775.3	Feb 22
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?	BUY	3.5¢	775.3	Feb 22
Nipah virus in US by March 31?	BUY	96.3¢	1.038	Feb 19
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Feb 19
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Feb 19
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	BUY	96.0¢	1.042	Feb 19
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	BUY	96.4¢	1.037	Feb 19
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	82.0¢	1.22	Feb 19
Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Feb 19
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Feb 19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	1.042	Feb 13
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Feb 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.5%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity37 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1410d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue