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0xc7cad0...18e271

0xc7cad0...18e271
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
67.5%
Total P&L
+$26
Trade Count
447
Sharpe Ratio
-1.93
Sortino Ratio
-1.68
Max Drawdown
36385.5%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
3.37
Kelly Fraction
0.474
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢5.38Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢5.382Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.9¢19.19Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.0¢19.192Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢12.195Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢5.15Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢11.54Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢7.08Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢7.22Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL83.2¢11.91Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY84.0¢11.905Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.0¢8.78Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.2¢8.772Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢8.45Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢8.457Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢10.77Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢10.764Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢10.34Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢10.331Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.4¢8.47Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%10%70–80%7%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%
Win Consistency44.6%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity447 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$57910d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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