0xc7d903...709e1a

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.5%

Total P&L

+$534

Trade Count

786

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

374.1%

ROI

1.5%

Profit Factor

5.21

Kelly Fraction

0.586

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.5¢	19.26	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	19.27	Mar 5
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	94.0¢	20.19	Jan 24
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	94.1¢	20.191	Jan 24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	14.17	Oct 9
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	14.17	Oct 9
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	17.22	Sep 17
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	17.224	Sep 17
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.4¢	20.28	Jul 31
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	20.284	Jul 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	77.44	Dec 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	77.44	Dec 31
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.4¢	77.56	Dec 31
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	77.56	Dec 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	77.62	Dec 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	77.62	Dec 31
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	77.69	Dec 31
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	77.691	Dec 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	93.32	Dec 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	15.562	Dec 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity10 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$00d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue