0xc813bd...b244da

0xc813bd...b244da
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
36.3%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
479
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Sortino Ratio
-0.50
Max Drawdown
2169.7%
ROI
3.1%
Profit Factor
1.52
Kelly Fraction
0.125
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
015.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY12.0¢2,500Mar 5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL11.0¢1,107.54Jan 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY11.0¢107.54Jan 16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY17.0¢978.53Jan 16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY17.0¢11Jan 16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY17.0¢10.47Jan 16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL48.0¢980Dec 17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?SELL36.0¢357.32Dec 15
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢166.81Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢16Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢25Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢33Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢44Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢55Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢61Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢61Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢61Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢61Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢61Dec 11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL21.8¢11Dec 11
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%13%10–20%8%20–30%14%30–50%17%50–70%7%70–80%5%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.0%
Win Consistency40.2%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity437 trades · 76 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,16029d profit47d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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