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0xc871d8...1c57e7

0xc871d8...1c57e7
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
65.6%
Total P&L
+$145
Trade Count
147
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Sortino Ratio
-0.32
Max Drawdown
193.3%
ROI
18.3%
Profit Factor
3.01
Kelly Fraction
0.439
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY74.2¢10Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY77.9¢10Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY92.1¢10Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY90.0¢10Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY82.0¢10Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY74.6¢8.67Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY74.6¢1.33Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY90.2¢10Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢8.81Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢1.19Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY76.0¢10Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY83.0¢10Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY73.4¢10Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY90.9¢10Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY92.0¢10Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY73.6¢8.96Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY73.6¢1.04Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY90.6¢10Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY89.9¢10Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY77.9¢10Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%8%30–50%31%50–70%15%70–80%9%80–90%13%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.0%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity147 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6311d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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