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0xc87561...66f8a7

0xc87561...66f8a7
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
18.8%
Total P&L
-$1
Trade Count
30
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Sortino Ratio
0.27
Max Drawdown
17.7%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
1.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?BUY50.0¢20.2Feb 24
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?BUY50.0¢20Feb 24
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?BUY31.0¢16.129Feb 24
Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY27.0¢18.519Feb 24
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?BUY27.0¢37.037Feb 24
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY8.0¢125Feb 24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL87.0¢5,608.61Feb 19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL91.0¢134Jan 28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢1,977.033Jan 20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢3,765.582Jan 20
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?SELL12.0¢1,044.64Jan 4
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?BUY10.1¢1,044.647Jan 2
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.2¢56,944.06Dec 31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.3¢12,000Dec 30
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?SELL53.0¢6,671.75Dec 29
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?BUY39.0¢6,671.758Dec 28
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?BUY2.8¢3,601.495Dec 14
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?BUY2.5¢5,880Dec 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6?SELL27.0¢2,208.33Dec 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6?BUY24.0¢2,208.333Dec 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%10%10–20%14%20–30%10%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.5%
Win Consistency25.0%
Profit Factor0.96
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity30 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$187d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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