0xc8b2b6...fb7c84
0xc8b2b6...fb7c84
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
42.8%
Total P&L
+$1.7K
Trade Count
990
Sharpe Ratio
4.50
Sortino Ratio
15.90
Max Drawdown
363.6%
ROI
9.9%
Profit Factor
2.97
Kelly Fraction
0.284
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 24.0¢ | 17.63 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 24.0¢ | 2.37 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 25.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 18.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 23.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 24.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | SELL | 88.0¢ | 100 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 28.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 28.0¢ | 10 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 28.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | SELL | 12.0¢ | 43.6 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 27.0¢ | 11 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 28.0¢ | 2.14 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 28.0¢ | 17.857 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 25.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 70.0¢ | 3.72 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 72.0¢ | 10 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 70.0¢ | 10 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 75.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | SELL | 23.0¢ | 20 | Mar 4 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.5%
Win Consistency63.5%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity990 trades · 5 active days
P&L Calendar
+$5633d profit2d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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