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0xc8bbd4...55b898

0xc8bbd4...55b898
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
22.1%
Total P&L
+$193
Trade Count
138
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Sortino Ratio
18.31
Max Drawdown
505.2%
ROI
21.6%
Profit Factor
1.70
Kelly Fraction
0.091
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY36.2¢276.243Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY9.1¢219.543Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY8.4¢238.095Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY43.1¢231.885Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY12.3¢16.26Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY17.0¢29.412Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY10.0¢20Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY7.0¢42.857Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY3.9¢50.75Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY1.0¢100Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.3¢333.333Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY10.8¢18.519Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY16.4¢12.232Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY39.0¢25.641Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY16.3¢6.135Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL6.8¢21.27Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY9.4¢21.277Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY51.3¢17.544Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY2.6¢38.148Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.8¢125Feb 10

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%47%10–20%12%20–30%7%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.9%
Win Consistency40.3%
Profit Factor0.63
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity138 trades · 32 active days
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P&L Calendar
$54711d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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