0xc8f0bb...786f2a

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$20

Trade Count

1,219

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.37

Max Drawdown

858.6%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

1.02

Kelly Fraction

0.012

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.4¢	2	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	89.7¢	4.013	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.8¢	5.011	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.6¢	2.009	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	70.6¢	2	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.8¢	2.005	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.4¢	2.013	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	93.0¢	4	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	2	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	69.9¢	2.003	Mar 3
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	2	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	69.2¢	2.023	Mar 3
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	3	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%

Win Consistency44.1%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity1,219 trades · 87 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,67125d profit62d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue