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0xc969bc...1b9309

0xc969bc...1b9309
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
89.0%
Total P&L
+$1.2K
Trade Count
149
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Sortino Ratio
0.30
Max Drawdown
102410.9%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
44.82
Kelly Fraction
0.871
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢4,314.393Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY88.0¢2.273Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY90.9¢1.1Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY99.9¢110.11Mar 1
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY99.9¢10.01Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY99.9¢4,141.34Feb 28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of February?BUY99.0¢4.04Feb 27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢609Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢34Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢48Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢69Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.4¢1,026.694Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢99Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢141Feb 26
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?BUY99.9¢20.02Feb 26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?BUY99.9¢100.1Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?BUY99.4¢6,234.195Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?SELL99.3¢100.8Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?BUY99.2¢100.806Feb 16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY93.0¢1,075.269Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%83%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.7%
Win Consistency65.8%
Profit Factor0.99
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity137 trades · 51 active days
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P&L Calendar
$121,5603d profit47d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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