0xc96fc4...9d767d

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.1%

Total P&L

+$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.05

Sortino Ratio

-0.09

Max Drawdown

190.2%

ROI

4.8%

Profit Factor

2.00

Kelly Fraction

0.320

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	43.4¢	4.92	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	34.2¢	2.924	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	49.9¢	2.004	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	50.0¢	2.12	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?	SELL	20.4¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?	BUY	16.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 4?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	3.27	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	82.0¢	1.42	Mar 4
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	2.81	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	1.66	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	46.9¢	4	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	36.3¢	4	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	29.1¢	3.436	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	49.9¢	2.004	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	57.2¢	6.24	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	29.3¢	3.413	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	35.3¢	2.833	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.9%

Win Consistency46.3%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity98 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

+$58d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue