0xc9bcc7...12a761

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.9%

Total P&L

-$54

Trade Count

143

Sharpe Ratio

0.70

Sortino Ratio

2.30

Max Drawdown

92.2%

ROI

-13.0%

Profit Factor

0.46

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.4¢	1.059	Mar 5
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 5
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	91.4¢	1.094	Mar 5
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	90.8¢	1.101	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	42.7¢	2.342	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	70.0¢	5.56	Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	BUY	92.9¢	1.076	Feb 28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	BUY	93.4¢	2.141	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	70.3¢	1.422	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	27.8¢	3.597	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	89.8¢	5.568	Feb 28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	88.3¢	2.265	Feb 27
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	80.0¢	2.5	Feb 27
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	BUY	89.0¢	2.247	Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	2.632	Feb 27
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	35.0¢	5.714	Feb 25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?	BUY	73.0¢	2.74	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.6%

Win Consistency53.2%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity143 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$2782d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue