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0xc9ce6d...c8f82a

0xc9ce6d...c8f82a
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
29.5%
Total P&L
+$284
Trade Count
240
Sharpe Ratio
0.81
Sortino Ratio
9.35
Max Drawdown
28.5%
ROI
15.0%
Profit Factor
1.47
Kelly Fraction
0.095
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
054/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL8.4¢25Mar 5
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?BUY12.0¢1.75Mar 4
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?BUY12.0¢18.25Mar 4
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?BUY11.0¢50Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY10.0¢19.8Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY10.0¢5.2Mar 3
Trump declares election interference national emergency? SELL33.0¢50Mar 1
Trump declares election interference national emergency? BUY23.0¢50Feb 28
Trump declares election interference national emergency? SELL19.0¢51Feb 27
Trump declares election interference national emergency? BUY19.0¢1Feb 27
Trump declares election interference national emergency? BUY19.0¢50Feb 27
Trump declares election interference national emergency? SELL19.0¢50Feb 26
Trump declares election interference national emergency? BUY20.0¢50Feb 26
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West IndiesBUY8.0¢37.5Feb 23
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West IndiesBUY9.0¢11.111Feb 23
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West IndiesBUY30.0¢10Feb 22
T20 World Cup: India vs South AfricaBUY24.0¢4.167Feb 22
T20 World Cup: India vs South AfricaBUY30.0¢10Feb 22
T20 World Cup: India vs South AfricaSELL27.0¢5Feb 22
T20 World Cup: India vs South AfricaBUY25.0¢5Feb 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%27%10–20%9%20–30%21%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.1%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor1.40
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86
Trading Activity240 trades · 66 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$73313d profit52d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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