0xc9f9e2...68a324

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.9%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

153

Sharpe Ratio

-0.66

Sortino Ratio

-0.82

Max Drawdown

741.8%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.65

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.2¢	17.12	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	58.4¢	17.123	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	10.21	Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)	BUY	96.6¢	8.282	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.0¢	5.23	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	95.6¢	5.23	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.6¢	10.24	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	17.64	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	10.246	Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	7.368	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.3¢	17.12	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	17.647	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	58.4¢	17.123	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	10.24	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	60.0¢	8.47	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	59.0¢	8.475	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.1¢	11.96	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.0%

Win Consistency34.7%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity153 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$2751d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue