0xca0e51...832dd8

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.3%

Total P&L

+$3.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.33

Sortino Ratio

-0.22

Max Drawdown

7.7%

ROI

12.4%

Profit Factor

1980.23

Kelly Fraction

0.913

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

063.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?	SELL	99.6¢	60.2	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	60.2	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	SELL	99.8¢	60.08	Mar 2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	BUY	99.8¢	60.08	Mar 2
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	60.08	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	60.08	Feb 8
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	57.99	Feb 5
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	57.997	Jan 2
Will Alternative Bloc (PA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?	BUY	99.6¢	58.996	Oct 15
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?	SELL	98.3¢	0.82	Dec 20
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?	BUY	98.6¢	0.822	Dec 20
Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?	SELL	99.0¢	0.68	Dec 20
Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?	BUY	99.7¢	0.682	Dec 20
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?	SELL	85.0¢	1.01	Dec 20
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?	BUY	87.0¢	1.011	Dec 20
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?	SELL	97.7¢	0.43	Dec 9
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?	BUY	97.9¢	0.439	Dec 9
Will someone else be inaugurated?	SELL	97.0¢	0.35	Dec 9
Will someone else be inaugurated?	BUY	97.1¢	0.35	Dec 9
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?	SELL	99.7¢	0.25	Dec 9

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active63.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.7%

Win Consistency68.0%

Profit Factor1.65

Drawdown Resilience1.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.33

Weekly Sharpe est.1.01

Trading Activity9 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$594d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue