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0xca1e48...8675ed

0xca1e48...8675ed
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
71.5%
Total P&L
+$22.6K
Trade Count
977
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
56.86
Max Drawdown
812.5%
ROI
42.1%
Profit Factor
7.65
Kelly Fraction
0.621
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY82.0¢5.556Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY82.0¢100Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY29.0¢7.042Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY29.0¢1.408Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY29.0¢80Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY29.0¢56.338Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY81.0¢52.632Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY81.0¢105.263Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY93.1¢10.902Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY81.0¢52.632Mar 3
Anthropic CEO arrested?BUY94.9¢200Mar 3
Anthropic CEO arrested?BUY94.9¢200Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?BUY84.0¢31.25Mar 3
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?SELL51.6¢335.09Mar 3
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY35.0¢200Mar 2
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL77.0¢10.38Mar 2
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL77.0¢4.13Mar 2
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL77.0¢12.987Mar 2
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL45.0¢27.25Mar 2
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL45.0¢55Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%6%10–20%6%20–30%4%30–50%6%50–70%5%70–80%12%80–90%31%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.4%
Win Consistency72.6%
Profit Factor1.38
Drawdown Resilience1.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity977 trades · 132 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$21,60645d profit87d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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