0xca24c3...a3a92a

0xca24c3...a3a92a
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
35.3%
Total P&L
+$205
Trade Count
27
Sharpe Ratio
2.00
Sortino Ratio
29.66
Max Drawdown
157.6%
ROI
191.2%
Profit Factor
3.77
Kelly Fraction
0.259
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
042.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY7.0¢71.429Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY20.5¢4.878Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.5¢66.667Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY8.0¢200Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY73.5¢1.361Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.7¢14.599Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY70.0¢1.429Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY0.6¢1,722.317Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢5,000Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢10,000Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢10,000Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢4,000Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.1¢3,000Mar 3
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?BUY30.0¢10Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2¢2,500Mar 3
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY77.0¢1.299Mar 2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY29.0¢3.448Mar 2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerBUY45.0¢2.222Mar 2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY50.0¢2Mar 2
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%48%< 10%4%10–20%7%20–30%11%30–50%15%50–70%11%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.4%
Win Consistency41.2%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity27 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1070d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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