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0xca3505...2f5b58

0xca3505...2f5b58
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
29.9%
Total P&L
+$15.2K
Trade Count
363
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Sortino Ratio
3.54
Max Drawdown
42.0%
ROI
67.0%
Profit Factor
3.21
Kelly Fraction
0.205
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?BUY2.0¢1,357.43Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?BUY4.8¢340.53Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL1.3¢193.35Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY5.7¢399.41Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY85.5¢193.35Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?SELL52.0¢449.32Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?SELL49.0¢4Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY5.5¢1,968Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?BUY1.0¢539.06Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY5.5¢15Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY5.5¢17Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL33.0¢312.73Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY5.3¢197.4Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY4.6¢733Feb 18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY44.5¢236.35Feb 17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY12.3¢255.39Feb 17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL36.0¢468.628Feb 17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL36.0¢27.77Feb 16
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL36.0¢27.77Feb 16
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY5.5¢13.59Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%54%< 10%19%10–20%5%20–30%9%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.4%
Win Consistency38.4%
Profit Factor1.38
Drawdown Resilience1.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity363 trades · 66 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,71918d profit48d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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