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0xca44d5...146d4e

0xca44d5...146d4e
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
46.6%
Total P&L
+$8.4K
Trade Count
1,315
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
1.31
Max Drawdown
748.6%
ROI
7.9%
Profit Factor
2.51
Kelly Fraction
0.280
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢149.07Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢400Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢400Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL49.0¢3,999.97Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL74.0¢100.75Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢131.579Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢95.416Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢155.3Mar 5
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY0.1¢3,000Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?SELL28.0¢321.2Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?SELL32.0¢5.438Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY30.6¢326.647Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?SELL41.0¢10Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY62.8¢376.063Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL97.7¢241.42Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY40.0¢365Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY39.8¢1,005.6Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY36.0¢132.99Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY36.0¢8Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY36.0¢25Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%10%10–20%14%20–30%38%30–50%18%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.3%
Win Consistency44.3%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity1,315 trades · 86 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,60232d profit54d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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