0xca75fc...e8b071

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

-$195

Trade Count

3,522

Sharpe Ratio

0.12

Sortino Ratio

4.45

Max Drawdown

1110.4%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

0.96

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	87.0¢	34.483	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	27.0¢	13.51	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	27.0¢	100.95	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	40.0¢	178.66	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	45.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	45.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	47.0¢	77	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	48.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	50.0¢	48	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	51.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	62.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	59.0¢	243.102	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	35.0¢	409.8	Mar 4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	59.8¢	30.083	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.6¢	500	Mar 3
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	57.3¢	125.478	Mar 3
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	73.565	Mar 2
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	6.7	Mar 2
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	4.34	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	409.81	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%

Win Consistency45.7%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity3,522 trades · 251 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,66087d profit148d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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