0xca7e4b...5dc992

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.0%

Total P&L

+$16

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.83

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

760.2%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

472.07

Kelly Fraction

0.798

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	6.19	Mar 5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	6.198	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	7.014	Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	7.46	Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	80.3¢	7.47	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 3
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?	BUY	96.5¢	1.451	Jan 19
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.5¢	2.798	Jan 19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	4.504	Jan 19
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	BUY	94.7¢	1.795	Dec 17
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	BUY	99.5¢	1.407	Dec 17
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	1.407	Dec 17
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	90.0¢	1.667	Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?	SELL	99.9¢	9,175.56	Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?	BUY	99.7¢	3,209.68	Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?	BUY	99.8¢	3,239.5	Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?	BUY	99.7¢	2,726.38	Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on October 20?	BUY	98.1¢	1.325	Oct 20
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?	BUY	97.7¢	1.638	Oct 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.8%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity20 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$241d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue