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0xca7ea6...a74e99

0xca7ea6...a74e99
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
30.4%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
239
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
5.46
Max Drawdown
104.4%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
1.22
Kelly Fraction
0.055
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.5¢10.05Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY99.5¢6.03Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY79.0¢12.658Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢8.1Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢8.105Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.2¢8.13Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢8.138Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢9.68Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢9.688Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.8¢9.1Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.9¢9.1Mar 4
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.7¢10.12Mar 4
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.8¢10.121Mar 4
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.2¢10.17Mar 4
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.3¢10.173Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.3¢6.09Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢6.098Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢8.25Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢8.256Mar 4
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢10.15Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%9%50–70%6%70–80%6%80–90%76%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.8%
Win Consistency50.6%
Profit Factor0.42
Drawdown Resilience0.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34
Weekly Sharpe est.0.26
Trading Activity239 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1018d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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