0xca811e...3e4ccf

Smart Score

Win Rate

12.5%

Total P&L

-$345

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.51

Sortino Ratio

23.69

Max Drawdown

0.5%

ROI

-78.7%

Profit Factor

-0.10

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	2,820.399	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BUY	35.0¢	42.857	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	SELL	7.4¢	196.04	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	19.0¢	52.632	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	34.0¢	29.412	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	36.0¢	55.556	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	33.0¢	60.606	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	SELL	65.5¢	46.91	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	42.0¢	47.619	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	BUY	34.0¢	26.471	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	33.333	Feb 9
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	BUY	0.1¢	10,000	Feb 9
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	BUY	0.1¢	20,000	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	BUY	14.0¢	71.429	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	BUY	24.0¢	83.333	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	66.667	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	1.0¢	900	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	41.0¢	48.78	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	36.0¢	55.556	Feb 9
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Feb 8

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%

Win Consistency62.5%

Profit Factor1.23

Drawdown Resilience0.99

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity24 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$3480d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue