0xcb11f6...db0d5e

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.1%

Total P&L

+$44.8K

Trade Count

992

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

1.21

Max Drawdown

634.9%

ROI

55.1%

Profit Factor

3.46

Kelly Fraction

0.342

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	32.0¢	300	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	BUY	17.0¢	339.71	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	41.0¢	500	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	22.0¢	1,000	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	268.45	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	71.42	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	8.475	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	10	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	3.39	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	20	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	230.76	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	16.949	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	355.9	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	120.339	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	43.0¢	35	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	76.0¢	76.12	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	76.0¢	72.88	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	58.0¢	175.31	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	119.93	Mar 1
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	29.9	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.3%

Win Consistency50.5%

Profit Factor0.84

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity832 trades · 184 active days

P&L Calendar

$46,07725d profit159d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue