0xcb174f...b22955

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.7%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

225

Sharpe Ratio

-1.02

Sortino Ratio

-1.13

Max Drawdown

762.2%

ROI

-1.4%

Profit Factor

0.68

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	2.73	Mar 5
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?	BUY	97.4¢	1.037	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	22.1¢	4.57	Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?	BUY	97.6¢	1.035	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	80.0¢	1.263	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	80.0¢	1.263	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	89.0¢	1.135	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	30.0¢	3.367	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	1.148	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.5¢	9.619	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	81.0¢	1.247	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	1.148	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	1.148	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	70.0¢	3.48	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	1.148	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?	BUY	62.0¢	1.629	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	72.0¢	1.403	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	55.0¢	2.582	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	48.0¢	2.667	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	30.0¢	8.27	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.5%

Win Consistency52.2%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity225 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$2641d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue