0xcb586c...445d49

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$2.8K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.20

Max Drawdown

6085.2%

ROI

4.1%

Profit Factor

12.29

Kelly Fraction

0.643

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	2,613.44	Mar 5
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	2,623.72	Mar 5
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	2,623.72	Mar 5
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	2,409	Mar 4
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	53.0¢	256.31	Mar 4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	2,409	Mar 4
Celtics vs. Bucks	BUY	75.0¢	225.06	Mar 2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	165.968	Mar 1
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	2,113	Mar 1
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	2,113	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	60.0¢	46.26	Feb 28
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	29.0¢	395.99	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.5¢	40.352	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.2¢	46.26	Feb 27
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	2,364	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.8¢	42.766	Feb 26
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	2,364	Feb 26
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	BUY	34.0¢	56.07	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	48.567	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	39.604	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%

Win Consistency41.2%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity70 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,3200d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue