0xcb7cba...bed5f6

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.0%

Total P&L

+$3.3K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

-0.19

Sortino Ratio

-1.28

Max Drawdown

170891.9%

ROI

163.3%

Profit Factor

10.23

Kelly Fraction

0.551

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	49.0¢	2.245	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.444	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	74.0¢	1.486	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	61.0¢	1.803	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	46.0¢	2.391	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	45.0¢	2.444	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	45.0¢	2.444	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	38.0¢	1.74	Mar 5
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 4
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	55.0¢	0.22	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	35.1¢	0.36	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	35.1¢	0.52	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	24.0¢	3.07	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	34.0¢	0.04	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	33.8¢	0.11	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	32.0¢	0.77	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	73.0¢	1.507	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	36.0¢	3.056	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	64.0¢	0.6	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency17.7%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$6703d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue