0xcbab47...cc9a8a

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.5%

Total P&L

-$962

Trade Count

1,510

Sharpe Ratio

-0.84

Sortino Ratio

-0.96

Max Drawdown

8651.6%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

0.90

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	555	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.8¢	1,372.64	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	12.0¢	555	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	67.6¢	8.53	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	95.1¢	353	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?	BUY	98.7¢	708.64	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	96.2¢	253	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	41.5	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	60.6	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	130	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	90	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	30.9	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	80	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	66.95	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	120	Mar 4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	27	Mar 4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	700	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	80.0¢	43.15	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	80.0¢	10.24	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	80.0¢	1	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.7%

Win Consistency57.3%

Profit Factor0.19

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity1,510 trades · 79 active days

P&L Calendar

$97,67611d profit68d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue