0xcbbc6f...8bb5e1

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.0%

Total P&L

+$38

Trade Count

253

Sharpe Ratio

-0.39

Sortino Ratio

-0.30

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.055

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	98.8¢	161	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.5¢	31.24	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	99.9¢	4.23	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	99.9¢	188.15	Mar 5
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	614.605	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	613	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	613	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	99.8¢	320	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	298.2	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.7¢	298.207	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.5¢	320	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.5¢	200	Mar 4
Will Hillary's remarks not air?	BUY	98.9¢	200	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	SELL	99.7¢	208	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	99.5¢	208	Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	799.78	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.8¢	1,044.78	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.7¢	29.821	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.7¢	357.853	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.7¢	27.55	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.0%

Win Consistency54.9%

Profit Factor1.11

Drawdown Resilience0.90

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90

Weekly Sharpe est.0.68

Trading Activity253 trades · 63 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,22214d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue