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0xcbc741...2a4fe2

0xcbc741...2a4fe2
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
64.0%
Total P&L
+$14
Trade Count
480
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Sortino Ratio
-0.33
Max Drawdown
2810.4%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1.55
Kelly Fraction
0.226
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢7.172Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.7¢9.31Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢9.298Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY99.0¢5.051Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢9.23Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢9.193Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢13.43Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.8¢9.019Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢10.32Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.1¢8.59Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢8.576Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢8.247Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢6.12Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢6.129Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢5.45Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢5.459Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.4¢6.34Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%8%70–80%5%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.5%
Win Consistency41.0%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity480 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5989d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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