0xcc130b...f9c991

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.4%

Total P&L

+$343

Trade Count

1,208

Sharpe Ratio

-0.21

Sortino Ratio

-0.33

Max Drawdown

200.7%

ROI

3.7%

Profit Factor

2.41

Kelly Fraction

0.330

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	14.3¢	4.91	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	14.2¢	40.79	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.8¢	30.238	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	94.3¢	63.616	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	13.2¢	13.485	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.8¢	17.29	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.9¢	18.23	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	11.5¢	20.16	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	15.7¢	77.643	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	17.9¢	6.65	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	17.9¢	8.89	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	17.9¢	9.95	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	17.9¢	5.58	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.8¢	38.63	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.7¢	3.67	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.6¢	116.42	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.6¢	14.71	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.6¢	4.62	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	22.222	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.5¢	12.34	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%

Win Consistency55.9%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity1,208 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

+$10315d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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