0xcc24fb...24728f

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.7%

Total P&L

-$40

Trade Count

255

Sharpe Ratio

0.45

Sortino Ratio

71.17

Max Drawdown

6806.2%

ROI

-5.5%

Profit Factor

0.88

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	52.632	Mar 5
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	271.474	Mar 5
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	6.9¢	14.493	Mar 5
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	7.5¢	13.333	Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.6¢	173.333	Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.7¢	117.22	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	43.47	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	34.3¢	25	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	38.4¢	38.71	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	6.3¢	25.64	Mar 5
Will "Engineering" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	2.0¢	51.22	Mar 4
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	1.3¢	159.231	Mar 4
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.3¢	29.126	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	8.1¢	12.346	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.1%

Win Consistency29.4%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity255 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$6402d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue