0xcc2df4...6c81ac

Smart Score

Win Rate

89.6%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

0.76

Max Drawdown

542.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.30

Kelly Fraction

0.209

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	113.226	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	112.112	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12?	BUY	99.9¢	112.112	Feb 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?	BUY	0.2¢	960	Feb 11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 4?	BUY	99.9¢	114.114	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 1?	BUY	99.9¢	114.114	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	114.114	Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 19?	BUY	99.9¢	114.114	Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 15?	BUY	99.9¢	114.114	Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	114.114	Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?	BUY	99.9¢	113.113	Jan 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on January 3?	BUY	99.9¢	113.113	Jan 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 2?	BUY	0.2¢	750	Jan 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 27?	BUY	99.9¢	115.115	Dec 27
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 28?	BUY	0.4¢	310	Dec 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 23?	BUY	99.8¢	116.473	Dec 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	115.115	Dec 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 7?	BUY	99.9¢	116.126	Dec 7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	116.006	Dec 1
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	115.895	Nov 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%

Win Consistency58.4%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity61 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,4830d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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