0xcce2cf...5740bc

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.3%

Total P&L

+$958

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.74

Sortino Ratio

-0.78

Max Drawdown

10959.7%

ROI

3.3%

Profit Factor

5.40

Kelly Fraction

0.483

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	901	Mar 5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	75.0¢	139.67	Mar 4
Spurs vs. 76ers	BUY	70.0¢	169.06	Mar 2
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	826	Mar 2
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	826	Mar 2
Grizzlies vs. Pacers	BUY	51.0¢	131.61	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.5¢	31.638	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	32.609	Feb 25
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	1,011.4	Feb 25
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	1,011.4	Feb 25
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	782.6	Feb 24
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	782.609	Feb 24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?	BUY	70.0¢	19.68	Feb 24
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.7¢	737.02	Feb 23
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.8¢	737.02	Feb 23
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	921.39	Feb 22
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	921.39	Feb 22
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?	BUY	45.0¢	25.32	Feb 21
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	882.72	Feb 20
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	882.72	Feb 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.5%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity56 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,5311d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue