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0xcceb22...89f030

0xcceb22...89f030
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
55.0%
Total P&L
-$640
Trade Count
1,600
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Sortino Ratio
0.17
Max Drawdown
956.5%
ROI
-2.0%
Profit Factor
12.94
Kelly Fraction
0.507
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?SELL27.0¢80Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?BUY47.0¢70Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?SELL17.0¢20Mar 4
Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL32.0¢20Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?BUY18.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?SELL15.0¢1.21Mar 4
Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY38.0¢20Mar 4
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March?SELL82.0¢80Mar 4
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?SELL31.5¢72.02Mar 4
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?BUY57.0¢6.77Mar 4
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY76.0¢20Mar 4
Will Russia enter Stinky by March 31?BUY19.0¢50Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL24.0¢4.99Mar 4
Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?SELL18.0¢50Mar 4
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?SELL47.6¢200Mar 4
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL53.7¢8Mar 4
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL36.0¢3.32Mar 4
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?BUY36.0¢3.32Mar 4
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?BUY68.0¢6.05Mar 4
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?BUY68.0¢17.813Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%17%10–20%10%20–30%15%30–50%15%50–70%11%70–80%16%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%
Win Consistency55.3%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity1,600 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,5726d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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