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0xcd4fd5...1a54e2

0xcd4fd5...1a54e2
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
36.5%
Total P&L
+$1.6K
Trade Count
456
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
7.37
Max Drawdown
9309.8%
ROI
14.7%
Profit Factor
1.49
Kelly Fraction
0.119
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL10.0¢41.57Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL33.6¢47.68Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL13.0¢44Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL24.7¢50Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY26.0¢8.36Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY26.0¢22.03Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY26.0¢2.85Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY26.0¢20Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY26.0¢6.757Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY26.0¢40Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY10.6¢94.545Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.2¢97.683Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY3.8¢131.579Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL11.1¢84.18Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY6.3¢95.238Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY10.0¢100Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY7.0¢100Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY4.5¢100Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY3.0¢99.496Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY93.9¢97.926Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%37%< 10%18%10–20%12%20–30%17%30–50%8%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%
Win Consistency43.8%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity456 trades · 66 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,7658d profit58d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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