0xcdb245...0783c7

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.1%

Total P&L

-$17

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.57

Sortino Ratio

66.12

Max Drawdown

2.2%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.36

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	238.238	Mar 5
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	237.23	Mar 4
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	237.237	Mar 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	185.18	Mar 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	185.185	Mar 4
Knicks vs. Raptors	BUY	44.0¢	34.091	Mar 3
Mavericks vs. Hornets	BUY	15.0¢	35.333	Mar 3
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	222.22	Mar 3
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	222.222	Mar 2
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	194.38	Mar 2
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	194.389	Mar 2
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	248.49	Mar 1
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	248.497	Mar 1
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	252.25	Mar 1
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	252.252	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	199	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.6¢	160	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.6¢	17	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.6¢	22	Mar 1
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	196.19	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%

Win Consistency43.5%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity43 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$2794d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue