0xcdf916...2dc661

Smart Score

Win Rate

9.9%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.51

Sortino Ratio

94.64

Max Drawdown

43.6%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?	BUY	13.7¢	15.714	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	7.4¢	22.568	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	6.4¢	15.625	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	4.7¢	21.277	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	7.6¢	13.229	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	7.467	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?	BUY	5.3¢	30.603	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?	BUY	7.9¢	55.866	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	16.8	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	3.5¢	63.543	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	25.0¢	9.24	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	27.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?	BUY	13.0¢	12.462	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?	BUY	29.0¢	8.621	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 4?	BUY	13.3¢	7.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?	BUY	12.5¢	14.269	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	BUY	37.0¢	7.216	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?	BUY	30.0¢	9.467	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?	BUY	11.6¢	24.562	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.1%

Win Consistency41.8%

Profit Factor1.20

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

Trading Activity96 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$1240d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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