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0xcdfb82...bfc618

0xcdfb82...bfc618
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
57.1%
Total P&L
+$6.3K
Trade Count
49
Sharpe Ratio
-2.38
Sortino Ratio
-1.95
Max Drawdown
25300.0%
ROI
15.0%
Profit Factor
622.02
Kelly Fraction
0.571
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL1.6¢2,066Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢2,066Mar 4
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?SELL0.7¢1,500Mar 4
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?BUY0.7¢10Mar 3
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?BUY0.7¢1,490Mar 3
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL1.0¢1,524.57Mar 3
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL1.0¢375.43Mar 3
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY1.1¢1,450Mar 3
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY1.1¢450Mar 3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢408.1Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢891.9Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢1,300Mar 2
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on March 2?BUY99.8¢37Mar 1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.5¢1,800Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢400Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢1,400Feb 26
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL2.6¢1,890.5Feb 26
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL2.7¢9.5Feb 26
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY2.7¢1,500Feb 21
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY2.7¢400Feb 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%48%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%40%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%
Win Consistency16.7%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity49 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,2273d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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