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0xce1171...8c72d2

0xce1171...8c72d2
Smart Score
87
Win Rate
90.0%
Total P&L
+$506
Trade Count
20
Sharpe Ratio
6.28
Sortino Ratio
50.41
Max Drawdown
8.5%
ROI
7.1%
Profit Factor
56.79
Kelly Fraction
0.884
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
086.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY90.5¢673.889Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL95.6¢638.52Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY84.6¢638.523Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?SELL96.1¢562.5Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY72.0¢562.5Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?SELL97.8¢413.64Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?BUY96.5¢413.642Mar 1
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL88.0¢453.33Mar 1
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY90.0¢453.333Mar 1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?SELL96.7¢420.49Mar 1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?BUY96.3¢420.496Mar 1
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?BUY97.1¢406.926Feb 28
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?SELL96.8¢407.67Feb 28
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?BUY95.2¢105.083Feb 28
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?BUY87.6¢302.589Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?SELL98.5¢261.71Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL78.0¢136.98Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?BUY98.2¢261.711Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY73.0¢136.986Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?BUY30.0¢353.333Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%8%20–30%30–50%50–70%17%70–80%17%80–90%58%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro86.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.77
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)78.9%
Win Consistency80.0%
Profit Factor2.25
Drawdown Resilience1.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.82
Weekly Sharpe est.1.39
Trading Activity20 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8701d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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