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0xce2cdf...79633a

0xce2cdf...79633a
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
40.7%
Total P&L
-$76
Trade Count
222
Sharpe Ratio
1.85
Sortino Ratio
57.00
Max Drawdown
6776.9%
ROI
-3.3%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.020
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?SELL5.2¢100Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?BUY6.0¢100Mar 5
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?SELL52.0¢20Mar 4
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?BUY57.0¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?SELL22.0¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?BUY22.0¢20Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL68.0¢200Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY69.0¢200Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?SELL50.0¢18Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?BUY50.0¢18Mar 4
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?SELL62.1¢20Mar 4
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?BUY65.0¢20Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?SELL51.0¢2Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?SELL1.1¢20Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?BUY50.0¢2Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?BUY1.4¢20Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?SELL45.0¢1.78Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?SELL92.1¢20Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?BUY92.2¢0.5Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?BUY92.2¢19.5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%12%10–20%16%20–30%6%30–50%15%50–70%11%70–80%13%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.67
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.7%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.79
Drawdown Resilience0.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity222 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$714d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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