Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xce2dfd...82cfa7

0xce2dfd...82cfa7
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
37.6%
Total P&L
+$12
Trade Count
299
Sharpe Ratio
-1.16
Sortino Ratio
-0.97
Max Drawdown
2384.6%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
4.37
Kelly Fraction
0.290
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.2¢10.26Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢10.267Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL77.0¢7.7Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY77.9¢7.705Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.4¢10.91Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢5.08Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢5.071Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢9.54Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢9.524Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL99.0¢9.09Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢8.1Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢8.105Mar 4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.4¢8.04Mar 4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.5¢8.04Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢10.173Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢7.02Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢6.16Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%9%50–70%4%70–80%6%80–90%79%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%
Win Consistency41.3%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity299 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1589d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics