0xce3c41...2807cc

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.1%

Total P&L

+$334

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.96

Sortino Ratio

7.02

Max Drawdown

315.2%

ROI

10.9%

Profit Factor

1.26

Kelly Fraction

0.111

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	1.39	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?	BUY	89.0¢	7.281	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?	BUY	97.9¢	5.424	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?	BUY	97.3¢	4.101	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	91.3¢	1.468	Mar 5
Will Solana reach $130 in March?	BUY	91.8¢	1.536	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	91.1¢	5.895	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	96.3¢	7.352	Mar 5
Anthropic CEO arrested?	SELL	95.1¢	6.29	Mar 5
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	BUY	99.0¢	2.535	Mar 5
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	SELL	90.0¢	4.87	Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	SELL	70.0¢	16.09	Mar 4
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	SELL	90.0¢	1.75	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	82.7¢	5.079	Mar 4
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	SELL	90.0¢	0.24	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	43.0¢	12.721	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	3.133	Mar 4
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?	BUY	74.0¢	2.419	Mar 3
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	43.0¢	6.372	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	82.4¢	6.432	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.5%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,5111d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue